Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.81	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.44	4.32
	1.81	3.46	4.44	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.8	3.6	4.3	Watch
	1.81	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	4.21 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
51.3%

Draw
26.8%

Deportes Limache
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Rangers de Talca - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez G. (G) 25. Diaz C. 4. San Juan B. 18. Felipe S. (C) 14. Acuna S. 3. Bellocq F. 10. Gonzalez M. E. 8. Marquez A. 7. Reyes G. 9. Gotti G. 17. Ibanez I.	1. Borquez M. (G) 18. Avello G. 2. Moreira R. 3. Paz G. 24. Morales C. 29. Pinto G. 16. Rodriguez A. 11. Fritz F. 19. Castro D. (C) 7. Juarez F. 9. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
24. Abalos A. 19. Alegre M. 16. Araya J. 27. Caroca I. 13. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 20. Moya G. 21. Sanhueza Esparza P.	12. Abarzua F. (G) 10. Cesped A. 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 22. Provoste B. 5. Silva F. 23. Tarifeno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tarifeno R. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
46', Pinto G. ↓, Juarez F. ↑,
46', Flores F. ↓, Cesped A. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Gonzalez M. E. ⚽,
60', Gonzalez M. E. 🟨,
61', Bellocq F. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
65', Felipe S. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez M. E. ↓, Moya G. ↑,
71', Bellocq F. ↓, Caroca I. ↑,
75', Ibanez I. ↓, Sanhueza Esparza P. ↑,
75', Reyes G. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
78', Avello G. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Fritz F. (Pen),
90+3', Juarez F. 🟨,
90+5', Felipe S. 🟥,
90+7', Castro D. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Gonzalez M. E. 🟥,
106', Morales C. ↓, Provoste B. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Provoste B. (Pen),
1, Abalos A. (Pen),
2, Fritz F. (Pen),
2, Moya G. (Pen),
3, Jara A. (Pen),
3, Marquez A. (Pen),
4, Paz G. (Pen),
4, Diaz C. (Pen),
5, Da Silva N. (Pen),
5, San Juan B. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.24	Deportes Limache - Rangers de Talca	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:2 ✺
12.11.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Rangers de Talca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWTW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.24	Deportes Limache - Rangers de Talca	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Limache	1:2 penalties ✺
26.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	0:4 ✺
13.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.12.24	Deportes Limache - Rangers de Talca	3:1
26.07.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Limache	2:0
08.03.24	Deportes Limache - Rangers de Talca	0:1

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