Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go


	Deportes Antofagasta		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.86	3.5	3.9
	1.86	3.5	4.12
	1.84	3.51	4.23	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.86	3.54	4.08
	1.86	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)	3.98 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
50.4%

Draw
26.4%

Deportes Limache
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Lopez Z. (G) 2. Berardo N. 6. Diaz C. 8. Cordero S. (C) 19. Larenas M. 20. Cuadra A. 24. Souper A. 26. Soza L. 9. Diaz E. 10. Flores J. 30. Guerra L.	1. Borquez M. (G) 2. Moreira R. 18. Avello G. 24. Morales C. 11. Fritz F. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 10. Cesped A. 16. Rodriguez A. 7. Juarez F. 9. Da Silva N. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
5. Astorga R. 7. Bandez J. D. 3. Maluenda M. 22. Marin C. (G) 23. Quiroga M. 11. Ubilla S. 15. Vazquez F.	27. Abuhadba Z. 25. Alvarez M. (G) 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 13. Matamoros N. 22. Provoste B. 23. Tarifeno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Guerra L. 🟨,
21', Diaz C. 🟨,
32', Fritz F. 🟨,
34', Cuadra A. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
35', Guerra L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Morales C. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Castro D. ⚽,
65', Diaz E. ↓, Ubilla S. ↑,
65', Souper A. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Castro D. ⚽,
71', Morales C. ↓, Tarifeno R. ↑,
74', Avello G. 🟨,
77', Flores J. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
77', Soza L. ↓, Maluenda M. ↑,
77', Da Silva N. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
77', Castro D. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Flores F. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, Diaz C. (Own goal),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Barnechea	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	6:0 ✺
11.10.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1
15.09.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	1:3
05.05.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	1:2
Chilean Cup
26.06.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	2:1
19.06.22	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	1:2

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