Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.91	3.55	3.65
	1.95	3.5	3.82
	1.92	3.53	3.81	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.5
	1.93	3.65	3.67	Watch
	1.91	3.55	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	3.64 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
48.5%

Draw
26.1%

Deportes Limache
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 4. Vasquez M. 5. Mancilla N. 14. Espinoza F. 10. Aranguiz T. 20. Catalan D. 21. Quiroz J. 31. Figueroa D. 7. Alfaro J. 8. Vicuna M. 9. Larrivey J.	1. Borquez M. (G) 2. Moreira R. 3. Paz G. 18. Avello G. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 16. Rodriguez A. 29. Pinto G. 7. Juarez F. 9. Da Silva N. 11. Fritz F. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
15. Cuadra M. 22. Jones T. 25. Martinic A. (G) 27. Neira E. 17. Rivera Faundez N. A. 29. Walters A. 6. Zamorano C.	12. Abarzua F. (G) 10. Cesped A. 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 24. Morales C. 22. Provoste B. 23. Tarifeno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vicuna M. ⚽,
14', Alfaro J. 🟨,
24', Juarez F. 🟨,
34', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
36', Vasquez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juarez F. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
53', Vicuna M. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
53', Aranguiz T. ↓, Zamorano C. ↑,
60', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cesped A. ↑,
65', Alfaro J. ↓, Cuadra M. ↑,
66', Catalan D. ↓, Jorquera C. ↑,
66', Avello G. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
66', Tarifeno R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
78', Pinto G. ↓, Provoste B. ↑,
82', Gonzalez R. ↓, Rivera Faundez N. A. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Fritz F. (Pen),
1, Jorquera C. (Pen),
2, Fritz F. (Pen),
2, Espinoza F. (Pen),
3, Flores F. (Pen),
3, Rivera Faundez N. A. (Pen),
4, Jara A. (Pen),
4, Larrivey J. (Pen),
5, Da Silva N. (Pen),
5, Cuadra M. (Pen),
6, Moreira R. (Pen),
6, Zamorano C. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
17.11.24	Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.24	Deportes Magallanes - San Luis de Quillota	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLTW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	0:4 ✺
13.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	6:0 ✺
11.10.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.11.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	1:1
27.09.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	2:2
11.05.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Limache	2:2

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