Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Rapid Wien		Grazer AK

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.05	5.9
	1.55	4.31	6.75
	1.54	4.23	5.91	Watch
	1.52	4.05	6.7
	1.52	4.25	6.82	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)	4.17 ↑ (3.55)	6.33 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
62.5%

Draw
22.6%

Grazer AK
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapid Wien's performance.

Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grazer AK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grazer AK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Rapid Wien - Grazer AK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux-Yao S. 38. Horn J. 18. Seidl M. (C) 29. Amane R. 22. Demir Y. 8. Adamsen T. 10. Dahl P. 9. Kara E.	23. Stankovic C. (G) 82. Owusu B. 2. Pines D. 3. Vraa L. 6. Hermesh L. 48. Gragger M. 8. Koch T. (C) 34. Michorl P. 32. Klassen L. 7. Smits A. 25. Hofleitner A.
Substitutes
23. Auer J. 30. Bajlicz N. 25. Gartler P. (G) 17. Gulliksen T. 43. Haidara M. 21. Schaub L. 4. Scholler J. M. 7. Tilio M. 15. Wurmbrand N.	70. Brown Ugo N. F. 11. Grosse M. 29. Guerti I. 30. Hasenhuttl C. 10. Lichtenberger C. 9. Maderner D. 17. Mandey S. 72. Markovic P. 1. Meierhofer J. (G)
Coaches
Thorup J.	Feldhofer F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kara E. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Kara E. ⚽, Horn J. (A),
14', 3 - 0, Adamsen T. ⚽,
22', Koch T. 🟨,
41', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
42', 4 - 0, Cvetkovic N. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
45+1', Klassen L. 🟨,
45+4', 5 - 0, Adamsen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
46', Smits A. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
56', 6 - 0, Demir Y. ⚽, Amane R. (A),
58', Pines D. 🟨,
68', Koch T. ↓, Markovic P. ↑,
69', Dahl P. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
69', Amane R. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
74', 7 - 0, Adamsen T. ⚽,
80', Cvetkovic N. ↓, Scholler J. M. ↑,
80', Kara E. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
84', Demir Y. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
86', 8 - 0, Adamsen T. ⚽, Tilio M. (A),

Preview

Rapid is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grazer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rapid is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Rapid: M'Buyi C. (Knee Injury) Ndzie M. (Knee Injury) Nunoo D. (Hamstring Injury) Vincze D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Grazer: Italiano J. (Groin Injury) Trummer T. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Rapid will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Grazer AK: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	21:7	14	18
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6:16	-10	8

Last Results with these Odds

Rapid Wien - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	Rapid Wien - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Rapid Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Rapid Wien - FC Santa Coloma	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
08.08.26	Grazer AK - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	LASK Linz - Grazer AK	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Donaufeld Wien - Grazer AK	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Grazer AK - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Grazer AK - First Vienna	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	1:2
21.09.25	Grazer AK - Rapid Wien	1:1
16.03.25	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	3:0
27.10.24	Grazer AK - Rapid Wien	1:1
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	1:0

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