Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF 1, ORF On
Estonia	Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Rapid Wien		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.00	13.00	Watch
	1.15	7.50	14.00	Watch
	1.14	8.72	17.45
	1.17	7.84	13.7	Watch
	1.09	8.65	17.00
	1.15	8.16	16.00	Watch
	1.13	7.80	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.08)	7.95 ↓ (10.13)	15.16 ↓ (24.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
82.1%

Draw
11.8%

Paide LM
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.9%

9.2%

3.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Rapid Wien - Paide LM Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 32 - 97%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapid: 91.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapid Wien will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedl N. (G) 2. Roka E. 55. Cvetkovic N. 4. Scholler J. M. (C) 23. Auer J. 15. Wurmbrand N. 29. Amane R. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 17. Gulliksen T. 43. Haidara M.	99. Jarju E. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 2. Lilander M. 11. Sohna M. P. 28. Hoim O. (C) 10. Miller M. 77. Luts D. 9. Anier H. 6. Daniel Cabral
Substitutes
8. Adamsen T. 30. Bajlicz N. 77. Bolla B. 10. Dahl P. 61. Demir F. 22. Demir Y. 25. Gartler P. (G) 38. Horn J. 9. Kara E. 50. Orgler L. (G) 6. Raux-Yao S. 18. Seidl M.	4. Andrade 30. Badamosi A. 17. Cham P. A. 14. Jobarteh M. 44. Kait K. 19. Luts S. 12. Meerits M. (G) 8. Ojamaa H. 20. Piht K. 21. Smirnov R. 16. Surogin A. 7. Tur E.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Laurikainen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Scholler J. M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Tilio M. ⚽, Wurmbrand N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Miller M. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
62', Tilio M. ↓, Adamsen T. ↑,
62', Amane R. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
62', Haidara M. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
68', Sohna M. P. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
68', Ojamaa H. ↓, Tur E. ↑,
74', Scholler J. M. ↓, Raux-Yao S. ↑,
74', Schaub L. 🟨,
81', Anier H. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Schaub L. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Luts D. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
84', Anier H. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
84', Schaub L. ↓, Seidl M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 4-1.

Rapid is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Paide has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rapid is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rapid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Rapid Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Rapid Wien - FC Santa Coloma	6:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.26	Wienerberg - Rapid Wien	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Paide LM
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.08.26	Paide LM - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Zira - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Paide LM - Zira	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4

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