Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 13

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.8
				Watch
	4.26	3.86	1.85
				Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.8
	4.16	3.88	1.78	Watch
	4.91	4.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.7)	3.81 ↓ (4.25)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
22.5%

Draw
24.6%

Aalesunds
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

21.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.5%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Skeid - Aalesunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aalesunds will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 20. Svenningsen L. 4. Steiring P. (C) 3. Flo F. 11. Bojang S. 15. Hadzic A. 6. Naustdal T. 14. Toure O. 21. Lindback M. 10. Andersen M. 7. Fiksdal J.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 7. Nesso K. 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 3. Gudmundsson O. 25. Kitolano J. 8. Melland H. 6. Hammer H. 66. Seehusen J. 19. Heiselberg F. 9. Ngongo P. (C)
Substitutes
23. Akinyemi A. 9. Delaveris F. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 39. Rise B. 24. Solberg I. (G) 33. Stensland F. 18. Tjostheim E. 8. Yusuf H.	2. Andresen M. 45. Aukland P. 29. Boe J. 11. Johannsson D. 28. Kolve E. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 36. Ytterland T.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Svenningsen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Svenningsen L. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
57', Heiselberg F. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
57', Nesso K. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
57', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
57', Lindback M. ↓, Rise B. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Ngongo P. ⚽,
69', Flo F. ↓, Yusuf H. ↑,
69', Toure O. ↓, Delaveris F. ↑,
75', Gudmundsson O. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', Fiksdal J. ↓, Odemarksbakken K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Skeid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aalesunds is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.06.25	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:4 ✺
18.06.25	Skeid - Sogndal	1:4 ✺
15.06.25	Åsane - Skeid	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Skeid - Hødd	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Moss - Skeid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTL
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian NM Cup
25.06.25	Aalesunds - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Aalesunds - Odd	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
15.06.25	Aalesunds - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Ranheim - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.19	Skeid - Aalesunds	0:1
22.04.19	Aalesunds - Skeid	4:2

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