Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.93
				Watch
	3.27	3.77	2.18
				Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.12	3.62	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
28.6%

Draw
26.1%

Sogndal
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.8%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

23.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sogndal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skeid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sogndal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Skeid - Sogndal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Skeid (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sogndal (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sogndal will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sogndal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Skeid (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sogndal (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersen M. (G) 11. Bojang S. 4. Steiring P. (C) 20. Svenningsen L. 14. Toure O. 15. Hadzic A. 8. Yusuf H. 6. Naustdal T. 17. Saad Y. 10. Andersen M. 33. Stensland F.	1. Jendal L. (G) 88. Onyango R. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. 17. Sjolstad M. 18. Hagen V. 16. Vapne L. 10. Skaanes K. (C) 8. Flaten J. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
27. Bakkane D. 9. Delaveris F. 7. Fiksdal J. 21. Lindback M. 26. Sarotic D. 24. Solberg I. (G) 18. Tjostheim E.	77. Borgthorsson O. 19. Flataker E. 14. Haruna J. 11. Mensah E. 31. Nundal J. 29. Steinset K. 38. Sundal A. (G)
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Pimenta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Pedersen S. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Hintsa O. ⚽, Pedersen S. (A),
55', Pedersen S. ↓, Nundal J. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Hintsa O. ⚽, Onyango R. (A),
65', Hadzic A. ↓, Sarotic D. ↑,
65', Saad Y. ↓, Tjostheim E. ↑,
65', Yusuf H. ↓, Lindback M. ↑,
67', Hagen V. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
67', Flo P. ↓, Haruna J. ↑,
70', Jendal L. 🟨,
78', Bojang S. ↓, Delaveris F. ↑,
78', Toure O. ↓, Fiksdal J. ↑,
80', Skaanes K. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
80', Hintsa O. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
83', 0 - 4, Nundal J. ⚽, Borgthorsson O. (A),
88', 1 - 4, Fiksdal J. ⚽, Naustdal T. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1.

Recent form of Skeid has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sogndal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sogndal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sogndal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Åsane - Skeid	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Skeid - Hødd	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Moss - Skeid	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Skeid - Lillestrøm SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLTT
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.25	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	4:2 ✺
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Egersund - Sogndal	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Sogndal - Åsane	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Hødd - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.08.23	Sogndal - Skeid	2:0
01.07.23	Skeid - Sogndal	2:4
05.09.22	Sogndal - Skeid	0:1
20.06.22	Skeid - Sogndal	2:3
18.09.19	Skeid - Sogndal	2:2
23.06.19	Sogndal - Skeid	4:2

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