Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.53	3.7	5.6
	1.58	3.67	6.01
	1.55	3.73	5.77	Watch
	1.54	3.8	5.9
	1.53	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.67 ↓ (3.72)	5.69 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
59%

Draw
24.9%

Móstoles URJC
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, Garci ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Majadahonda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Móstoles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rayo Majadahonda is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rayo Majadahonda to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.02.25	Getafe B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Coria - Rayo Majadahonda	1:4 ✺
19.01.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Illescas	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Conquense - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWTW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Real Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
Club Friendly
14.08.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0

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