Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.83
	3.9	3.3	1.78
	4.1	3.2	1.82
	4.04	3.36	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.8
	4.38	3.28	1.82
	4.1	3.2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.53)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
22%

Draw
28%

Cacereño
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

28%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

27.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Móstoles URJC - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Martinez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Alvaro Merencio ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
24.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Getafe B - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Coria - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.24	Cacereño - Illescas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.08.24	Cacereño - Móstoles URJC	3:0

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