Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Sebastian Reyes		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.45	3.95	6.2
	1.5	3.85	6.28	Watch
	1.51	3.78	6.42
	1.45	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.74)	3.84 ↑ (3.32)	6.27 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
61.8%

Draw
23.7%

Móstoles URJC
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

22.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Sebastian Reyes's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Sebastian Reyes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Sebastian Reyes - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Móstoles is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Móstoles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SS Reyes have a series of guest games.

In this match SS Reyes is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.01.25	Getafe B - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Coria	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.09.24	Móstoles URJC - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1

San Sebastian Reyes - Móstoles URJC