Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.25	4.65
	1.81	3.23	5.67
	1.90	3.29	3.80	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	4.66 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
52.8%

Draw
27.4%

Elche Ilicitano
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Sciancalepore M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Yoshimura Y. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Yoshimura Y. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Plomer D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 3 - 2, Imadiyi C. ⚽,
75', 4 - 2, Martin J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rayo Majadahonda is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Socuéllamos - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Coria	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Getafe B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Las Palmas B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLWL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Elche Ilicitano - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWL

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