Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday


	Rayo Vallecano		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	6	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.75
	1.7	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.66	3.67	6.35
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.65	3.66	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)	3.5 ↑ (3.16)	5.65 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
56.1%

Draw
27.1%

Mirandés
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	3.1%	3.1%

Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (149 of 159 users predict this - 93.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.94% – 97.48%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 9).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (75%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mirandés has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mirandés is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
10.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
30.03.21	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Alcorcón - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
12.03.21	Rayo Vallecano - Zaragoza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.21	Mirandés - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
04.04.21	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
22.03.21	Zaragoza - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Mirandés - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
08.03.21	Alcorcón - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.21	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:2
02.02.20	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
17.08.19	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	2:2
19.02.17	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	1:2
18.09.16	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	2:1

Upcoming Matches