The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 42.9%
Draw 32.4%
Sporting de Gijón 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
31.1%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
24.3%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.3%
35.2%
18.5%
Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 25 - 46.3%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 35.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 33% – 59.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).
Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (73%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sporting de Gijón has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (79%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Sporting de Gijón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.