Match Info

Date: 12 March 2021, Friday


	Rayo Vallecano		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.33	Watch
	2	2.95	4.33
	2.02	2.95	4.4	Watch
	1.96	3	4.2
	2.01	3.15	4.68
	2.05	3	4
	1.98	3.13	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.98)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	4.33 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
47.1%

Draw
31.2%

Zaragoza
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

20.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	11.8%	20.6%

Rayo Vallecano - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zaragoza has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.21	Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Rayo Vallecano - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Cartagena - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.21	Zaragoza - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
22.02.21	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
12.02.21	Sabadell - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.20	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	1:2
06.07.20	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	2:4
23.11.19	Rayo Vallecano - Zaragoza	0:1
15.04.18	Rayo Vallecano - Zaragoza	2:1
11.11.17	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	3:2
28.05.17	Zaragoza - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
18.12.16	Rayo Vallecano - Zaragoza	1:2

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