Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.4	4.15	6.3
	1.44	4.26	6.84
	1.58	3.69	5.25	Watch
	1.4	4.15	6.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.03 ↑ (3.69)	6.26 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
62.8%

Draw
22.6%

Rayo Vallecano B
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

22.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Orihuela - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Monterde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Solsona J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Orihuela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rayo Vallecano B has had a series of home games.

In this match, Orihuela is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Orihuela - Levante	3:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Quintanar del Rey	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Getafe B - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Conquense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTL

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