The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Zuliano 13.6%
Draw 21.8%
Carabobo 64.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
24.3%
58.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.8%
23.3%
60.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Corredor L. (G) 25. Julio J. 34. Diaz F. 22. Orejuela S. 6. Kinsler A. 24. Sanchez J. 26. Gomez J. 66. Copete D. 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A. 31. Dugarte L. 23. Ochoa J. (C)
1. Silva M. (G) 13. Duran J. 28. Bilbao J. 3. Fuentes J. 8. Perez J. 23. Meza D. 30. Mendoza S. 26. Nunez M. 10. Orozco Y. (C) 9. Castillo B. 19. Martinez L.
Substitutes
10. Arias J. 99. Barrios J. 55. Bustamante W. 1. Camacaro J. (G) 20. Chacon P. 79. Garces S. 18. Maldonado C. 3. Marquez J. 19. Martinez G. 5. Martinez J. 32. Moran J.
4. Aponte L. 6. Bahachille A. 14. Berios J. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 21. Gonzalez A. 2. Guaramato M. 11. Machis D. 32. Neira E. 17. Oliveros F. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Dugarte L. ⚽, Vasquez Ferrer D. A. (A),
20', Copete D. 🟨,
22', Sanchez J. 🟨,
25', Neira E. 🟥,
28', 2 - 0, Ochoa J. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Kinsler A. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Nunez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Martinez L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
46', Duran J. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
46', Copete D. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
49', Dugarte L. ↓, Maldonado C. ↑,
55', 2 - 2, Bilbao J. ⚽, Machis D. (A),
57', Ochoa J. 🟨,
59', Castillo B. 🟨,
59', Orejuela S. 🟨,
60', Meza D. ↓, Berios J. ↑,
65', Diaz F. ↓, Chacon P. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Castillo B. ⚽,
74', Ochoa J. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
79', Machis D. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Moran J. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 3, Maldonado C. ⚽, Vasquez Ferrer D. A. (A),
90+5', Maldonado C. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Rayo Zuliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Carabobo is the obvious favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rayo Zuliano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Zuliano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Carabobo
11
5
3
3
12:8
4
18
11
Rayo Zuliano
11
3
2
6
17:23
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Corredor L. (G) 
Orejuela S. 
Bilbao J. 
Nunez M. 
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