Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)


	Reading		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.44	3.48	2.92
	1.44	4.09	7.78	Watch
	2.43	3.51	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.6)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	3.63 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
44.2%

Draw
28.3%

Leyton Orient
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Reading - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leyton Orient (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Reading (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 39. Ahmed A. 12. Burns F. 33. Williams D. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 6. Fraser L. 10. Wing L. 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 7. Marriott J. 11. Kyerewaa D.	1. Simkin T. (G) 2. James T. 19. Beckles O. 4. Simpson J. 11. Mitchell D. 17. Koroma J. 21. Moorhouse J. 10. Connolly A. 8. El Mizouni I. 20. Perkins S. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
29. Doyle K. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 19. Garcia A. 5. Jacob M. 20. O'Mahony M. 30. Ritchie M. 25. Stevens J. (G)	22. Abdulai A. 3. Adaramola T. 15. Bakinson T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 18. Edmonds-Green R. 25. Wellens C.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
32', Beckles O. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
45+5', Williams D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, El Mizouni I. ⚽,
50', James T. 🟨,
51', Ahmed A. 🟨,
55', Ahmed A. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
58', Lane P. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
71', Perkins S. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
72', James T. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
72', Savage C. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
73', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
73', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
76', Wing L. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Fraser L. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
80', Ballard D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
80', Moorhouse J. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
84', Abdulai A. 🟨,
90+1', Koroma J. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+8', Ritchie M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Rushesha T. (Inactive) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Happe D. (Injury) Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.17%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Swindon Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Reading - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWT
- Leyton Orient
English League One
13.09.25	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Leyton Orient - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mansfield Town - Leyton Orient	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.01.25	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:0
14.09.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	0:1
27.01.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	1:1
07.10.23	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:1

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