Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wycombe Wanderers		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.45
	2.70	3.50	2.43	Watch
	2.67	3.75	2.58
	2.5	3.56	2.62	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.45
	2.52	3.63	2.52	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.47)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
36.5%

Draw
26.1%

Reading
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Wycombe Wanderers - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Wildsmith J. (G) 26. Taylor C. 17. Casey D. 27. Cook S. 44. Onyedinma F. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 20. Henderson E. 4. Scowen J. 3. Harvie D. (C) 12. Woodrow C. 15. Wareham J.	1. Pereira J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. O'Connor P. 16. Ward B. 5. Roberts H. 10. Wing L. (C) 6. Fraser L. 19. Lisbie K. 28. Stokes J. 32. Lane P. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
2. Grimmer J. 28. Ings D. 10. Leahy L. 5. Morley A. 22. Parker S. 11. Thomas S. 1. van Sas M. (G)	18. Brown J. 37. Howard L. 11. Kyerewaa D. 23. Masterson C. 9. Reid J. 25. Stevens J. (G) 14. Williams R.
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Casey D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Woodrow C. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, O'Connor P. ⚽, Lane P. (A),
61', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Henderson E. (A),
68', Lisbie K. 🟨,
68', Harvie D. 🟨,
72', Henderson E. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
74', Lisbie K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
75', Marriott J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
75', Lane P. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Brown J. ⚽,
82', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
82', Casey D. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
84', Stokes J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
88', Roberts H. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Ings D. ⚽, Onyedinma F. (A),
90+5', Ward B. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 14th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 0.

Wycombe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Reading have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Reading has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Reading: Patton S. (Inactive).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:17 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wycombe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.34% Wycombe: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
19.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Chelsea U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
01.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTL
- Reading
English League One
19.09.26	Reading - Notts County	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Reading - Brentford	1:2 ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Cambridge United - Reading	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Reading - Blackpool	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Reading - Mansfield Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 penalties
English League One
14.02.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2
23.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2
05.04.25	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
07.12.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	1:1
09.03.24	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
25.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	1:2

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