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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 38.2%
Draw 29.1%
Stevenage Borough 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
28.7%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
28.5%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Stevens F. 6. Forrester W. 5. Olowu J. 34. Chinedu P. 8. El Mizouni I. 14. Hayden I. (C) 22. Akhamrich Y. 20. Gilbert A. 27. Springett T. 9. Kabia J.
1. Setford T. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 6. Freestone L. 18. Sanderson O. 23. Thompson L. 8. Phillips D. 27. Broggio B. 10. Kemp D. 9. Magennis J.
Substitutes
44. Archibald T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 17. Dobra A. 3. Morris J. 18. Scarlett D. 25. Wellens C.
12. Barden D. (G) 16. Casey K. 14. Earley S. 4. Houghton J. 28. Mellon M. 44. Patterson P. 24. Smith M.
Coaches
Wellens R.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Vancooten T. 🟨,
32', Freestone L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Thompson L. 🟨,
64', Magennis J. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
64', Broggio B. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
64', Thompson L. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
65', Phillips D. 🟨,
65', Hayden I. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
76', Springett T. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
76', Kabia J. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Gilbert A. ⚽, El Mizouni I. (A),
83', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
Leyton Orient is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Stevenage have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Leyton Orient may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Inactive)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
O'Neill O.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Leyton Orient: Boniface S.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Inactive)
Patterson P.
(Inactive)
Taylor T.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:19 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leyton Orient against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Stevenage
8
3
3
2
12:8
4
12
13
Leyton Orient
9
3
2
4
13:11
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Leyton Orient - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Stevenage Borough - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Baxter N. (G) 
Stevens F. 
El Mizouni I. 
Hayden I. (C) 
Akhamrich Y. 
Gilbert A. 
James-Wildin L. 
Vancooten T. 
Phillips D. 
Magennis J. 
Archibald T. 
Dobra A. 
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