Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Plymouth Argyle		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.4
	2.72	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.49	2.46	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.5
	2.66	3.38	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.33	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.49)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
35.1%

Draw
27.7%

Reading
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Plymouth Argyle - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Reading (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 29. Sorinola M. 14. Benarous A. 19. Boateng M. 32. Ralls J. 11. Mumba B. 9. Tolaj L. 18. Oseni O.	1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 33. Williams D. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 15. O'Connor P. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 21. Williams R. 29. Doyle K. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 39. Finn T. 20. McCabe L. 27. Pepple A. 6. Szucs K. 4. Wiredu B.	2. Abrefa K. 12. Burns F. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 19. Garcia A. 20. O'Mahony M. 25. Stevens J. (G)
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', Sorinola M. 🟨,
12', Ralls J. 🟥,
14', 0 - 1, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Oseni O. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
18', 0 - 2, Wing L. ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, Doyle K. ⚽, Marriott J. (A),
23', Wing L. 🟨,
30', Yiadom A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Williams R. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
46', Benarous A. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
66', Mitchell A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Amaechi X. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
69', Yiadom A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
71', Williams D. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
73', Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Edwards J. 🟨,
77', Edwards J. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
80', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, Marriott J. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
87', Savage C. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
88', Marriott J. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 15).

Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Reading has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (International duty) Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Jacob M. (Injury) Rinomhota A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
20.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:5 ✺
13.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWLW
- Reading
English League One
18.12.25	Reading - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Bradford City - Reading	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Reading - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Blackpool - Reading	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Reading - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
27.08.19	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	2:4
09.08.16	Reading - Plymouth Argyle	2:0

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