Match Info

ENGLAND: WOMEN'S LEAGUE CUP

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Reading		Southampton

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.61
	5	4.2	1.52
	4.59	3.9	1.61
	4.33	3.7	1.53
	4.7	3.8	1.6
	3.15	3.7	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.1)	3.84 ↑ (3.62)	1.63 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
20.9%

Draw
23.6%

Southampton
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

24.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reading - Southampton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kite R. (G) 18. Meadows-Tuson F. 15. Hendrix B. (C) 6. Smith C. 16. Mayi Kith E. 51. Troelsgaard S. 4. Houssein H. 10. Wilson G. 22. Elwood A. 23. Jarvis L. 24. Longhurst J.	22. Howard B. (G) 18. Milne I. 6. Rafferty L. 5. Parnell R. (C) 2. Morris E. 4. Kendall L. 19. Griffiths A. 10. Dean R. 17. Kraft E. 11. Wynne M. 16. Thompson E.
Substitutes
41. Annets E. 5. Cooper D. 2. Dugdale R. 17. Estcourt C. 19. Gregory F. 1. Orman E. (G) 8. Primmer T. 11. Wade L.	7. Lloyd-Smith L. 3. Mott M. 24. Peake P. 12. Pharoah S. 14. Pike M. 21. Purfield J. 1. Rendell K. (G) 9. Wilkinson K.

Preview

Reading is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southampton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Southampton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading FC Women
English WSL 2
05.11.23	Birmingham City LFC - Reading	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Reading - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Sunderland - Reading	3:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
11.10.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Reading	6:0 ✺
English WSL 2
08.10.23	Reading - Lewes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
05.11.23	Southampton - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	London City Lionesses - Southampton	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Southampton - Durham	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
11.10.23	Bristol City - Southampton	1:2 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
08.10.23	Watford - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
17.09.23	Reading - Southampton	1:4
English League Cup Women
27.11.22	Southampton - Reading	0:3

Reading - Southampton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide