Match Info

ENGLAND: Women’s Championship - Round 11

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Hayes Lane (London)


	London City Lionesses		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.04	3.53	3.19
	2.03	3.46	3.26	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	2.05	3.24	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)	3.39 ↓ (3.54)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London City Lionesses
45.3%

Draw
26.8%

Southampton
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London City Lionesses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London City Lionesses than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

London City Lionesses - Southampton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Orman E. (G) 9. Asllani K. (C) 33. Boye-Hlorkah C. 4. Brougham G. 22. Brown C. 6. Campbell M. 23. Goodwin I. 15. Jakobsson S. 13. Meyong C. 3. Mukandi E. 20. Wilde M.	22. Stenson F. (G) 6. Bourne T. 2. Brown R. 23. Collett M. 7. Gregory F. 4. Kendall L. 66. Palmer A. 8. Peplow C. 10. Pike M. 21. Purfield J. (C) 11. Rowe R.
Substitutes
17. Fitzgerald L. 5. Goldie T. 25. Imuran R. 11. Ivanovic M. 31. Littlejohn R. 7. Mengyu Shen 1. Moloney G. (G) 2. Neville G. 8. Scofield C.	13. Haland B. (G) 3. Mott M. 25. Nohasiarisoa K. 24. Peake P. 35. Roberts E. 16. Thompson E. 14. Watson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', Purfield J. 🟨,
56', Brougham G. ↓, Mengyu Shen ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Goodwin I. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Goodwin I. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Boye-Hlorkah C. ⚽,
78', Goodwin I. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
79', Collett M. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
82', Peplow C. ↓, Thompson E. ↑,
82', Brown C. ↓, Littlejohn R. ↑,
82', Meyong C. ↓, Goldie T. ↑,
90+4', Asllani K. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Southampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southampton have a series of guest games.

Lionesses will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lionesses won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lionesses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London City Lionesses
English League Cup Women
11.12.24	Portsmouth - London City Lionesses	2:5 ✺
English FA Cup Women
08.12.24	London City Lionesses - Gwalia United	4:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.11.24	London City Lionesses - West Ham	1:4 ✺
English WSL 2
17.11.24	Durham - London City Lionesses	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	London City Lionesses - Birmingham City LFC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL
- Southampton WFC
English League Cup Women
11.12.24	West Ham - Southampton	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Portsmouth - Southampton	0:4 ✺
English WSL 2
17.11.24	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Southampton - Durham	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup Women
03.10.24	Southampton - London City Lionesses	0:1
English WSL 2
21.04.24	Southampton - London City Lionesses	3:1
22.10.23	London City Lionesses - Southampton	1:0
16.04.23	Southampton - London City Lionesses	1:0
04.12.22	London City Lionesses - Southampton	1:1

London City Lionesses - Southampton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide