Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Real Agro Aversa		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.75
	1.77	3.75	3.5
	1.74	3.5	4
	1.76	3.53	4.06
	1.65	3.75	4.5
	1.76	3.58	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	4 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Agro Aversa
52.5%

Draw
24.8%

Audace Cerignola
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

17.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Agro Aversa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Agro Aversa's performance.

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Agro Aversa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audace Cerignola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Agro Aversa - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Audace Cerignola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Agro Aversa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Agro Aversa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.05.21	Bitonto - Real Agro Aversa	2:1 ✺
09.05.21	Real Agro Aversa - Francavilla	2:1
05.05.21	Molfetta - Real Agro Aversa	5:2 ✺
02.05.21	Lavello - Real Agro Aversa	1:1
28.04.21	Real Agro Aversa - Taranto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLTT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.05.21	Città di Brindisi - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
02.05.21	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	5:0 ✺
18.04.21	Sorrento - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Audace Cerignola - Puteolana	3:1 ✺
11.04.21	Bitonto - Audace Cerignola	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
31.01.21	Audace Cerignola - Real Agro Aversa	1:2

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