The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bitonto 29.8%
Draw 30%
Audace Cerignola 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.6%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
20.3%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bitonto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bitonto's form might have worsened.
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bitonto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audace Cerignola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bitonto - Audace Cerignola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Bitonto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Audace Cerignola is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Audace Cerignola will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Bitonto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Bitonto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
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