Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Real Agro Aversa		Casarano

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.3	1.75
	3.8	2.95	1.92
	4.6	3.4	1.67
	4.15	3.34	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.7)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Agro Aversa
21.6%

Draw
27.9%

Casarano
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.3%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

18.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Agro Aversa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Agro Aversa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Agro Aversa - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Real Agro Aversa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casarano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casarano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Casarano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.02.21	Real Agro Aversa - Bitonto	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Real Agro Aversa - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Puteolana - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Real Agro Aversa - Picerno	1:2
31.01.21	Audace Cerignola - Real Agro Aversa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.02.21	Casarano - Puteolana	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Città di Brindisi - Casarano	0:3 ✺
24.01.21	Casarano - Picerno	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Lavello - Casarano	2:2
10.01.21	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	5:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLTW

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