Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Casarano		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.67
	2.11	3.31	3.21	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.1	3.26	3.48	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.89)	3.17 ↓ (3.44)	3.42 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
44%

Draw
29.1%

Picerno
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Casarano - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Casarano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Picerno will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 27. Versienti L. 29. Gyamfi B. 33. Mercadante M. 3. Giraudo F. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. (C) 10. Chirico C. 11. Ferrara V. 46. Leonetti V. 21. Millico V.	16. Marcone R. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 3. Bellodi G. 26. Bassoli A. 97. Rillo F. 27. Baldassin L. 30. Bianchi S. 17. Guadagni G. 10. Maiorino P. (C) 93. Kanoute M. 90. Abreu L.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 5. Celiento D. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 9. Grandolfo F. 67. Jacopo L. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 12. Pucci D. (G)	33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 29. Del Fabro D. 25. Djibril M. 49. Ferdinando P. 44. Franco D. 2. Perri M. 99. Pugliese S. 21. Salvo G. 19. Santaniello E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 1. Summa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Bianchi S. ⚽,
11', Gyamfi B. 🟨,
19', Kanoute M. 🟥,
24', 0 - 2, Bianchi S. ⚽,
34', Gyamfi B. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Millico V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
46', Versienti L. ↓, Celiento D. ↑,
46', Guadagni G. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
56', Bassoli A. 🟨,
58', Maiorino P. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
58', Gemignani A. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
58', Abreu L. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Giraudo F. ⚽,
68', Santarcangelo A. 🟨,
69', Logoluso G. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
73', Celiento D. 🟨,
85', Marcone R. 🟨,
86', Baldassin L. ↓, Del Fabro D. ↑,
88', Giraudo F. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Leonetti V. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Casarano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Picerno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Casarano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.01.26	Benevento - Casarano	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Picerno - Latina	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Giugliano - Picerno	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.09.25	Picerno - Casarano	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.06.21	Picerno - Casarano	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.05.21	Picerno - Casarano	2:2
24.01.21	Casarano - Picerno	0:1
Club Friendly
13.08.19	Picerno - Casarano	1:2

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