Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Saltillo

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.55
	4.01	4.11	1.68
	4.8	4.05	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (5.78)	4.05 ↓ (4.28)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
20.5%

Draw
22.4%

Saltillo
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

21.3%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Saltillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saltillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Apodaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saltillo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saltillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 10).

Real Apodaca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saltillo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Apodaca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saltillo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Real Apodaca	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Los Cabos United - Real Apodaca	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Real Apodaca - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Real Apodaca	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Saltillo FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.09.23	Saltillo - Calor de San Pedro	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Saltillo - Tuzos UAZ	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Saltillo	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Saltillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Los Cabos United - Saltillo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTL

Real Apodaca - Saltillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide