Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.36
	1.7	3.37	5.36
	1.67	3.48	4.65
	1.66	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.17)	3.48 ↑ (3)	5.03 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
55%

Draw
26.6%

Arandina
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Avilés's performance.

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arandina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Avilés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arandina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Avilés - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Arandina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Avilés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.11.23	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Avilés - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Zamora - Real Avilés	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Real Oviedo B - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.11.23	Arandina - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pontevedra - Arandina	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Arandina - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Guijuelo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Arandina - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLW

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