Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta (Avilés)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Avilés		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.22	2.98	3.25
	2.00	3.44	3.49	Watch
	2.26	2.78	3.36
	2.29	2.57	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	2.95 ↓ (3.44)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
41.9%

Draw
31.1%

Arenteiro
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Real Avilés - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 12. Granero B. 26. Carracedo O. 8. Bautista K. 16. Gomez A. 7. Hernandez R. 14. Cayarga B. 22. Isi Ros 11. Rubio R.	13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 6. Val B. 25. Bastida A. 24. Richarte R. 16. Guerrero J. 21. Llacer L. 12. Ochoa M.
Substitutes
13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 15. Chukwuma E. 10. Cueto J. 18. Gete A. 2. Ortega G. 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J.	17. Aguza S. 19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 7. Ferreiro D. 8. Gonzalez D. 30. Iglesias F. 18. Mingo V. 23. Romera D. 14. Safrai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Bautista K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Llacer L. 🟨,
54', Granero B. ↓, Chukwuma E. ↑,
54', Cayarga B. ↓, Gete A. ↑,
59', Richarte R. ↓, Aguza S. ↑,
59', Bastida A. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
67', Isi Ros ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
67', Carracedo O. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
71', 🟨,
87', Campabadal E. ↓, Viti ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Real Avilés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arenteiro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Arenteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Avilés has had a series of away games.

Real Avilés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.25	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.02.23	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:1
02.10.22	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	1:1
15.05.22	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:1
09.01.22	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	1:0

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