Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Real Avilés		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.33	4.4	8.2
	1.32	5.07	8.49
	1.31	4.82	8.51	Watch
	1.42	4.65	6.7
	1.33	4.5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.61 ↑ (4.12)	7.74 ↓ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Avilés
68.2%

Draw
20%

Guijuelo
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

22.2%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.9%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Avilés - Guijuelo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Avilés (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Avilés will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Santamaria A. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Santamaria A. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Cueto J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Guijuelo is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 0.

Recent matches Real Avilés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guijuelo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Avilés is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Real Avilés won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Avilés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Rayo Cantabria - Real Avilés	4:1 ✺
16.04.25	Real Avilés - Langreo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Avilés - Escobedo	4:3 ✺
06.04.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWT
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Guijuelo - Numancia	1:4 ✺
13.04.25	Guijuelo - Rayo Cantabria	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Escobedo - Guijuelo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Guijuelo - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Langreo - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1
24.02.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1
15.10.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	2:2
14.05.23	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	1:1
15.01.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	0:2
22.02.15	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	3:1
05.10.14	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	1:1

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