Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Ceares		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.75	3.05	2.39
	3.03	2.93	2.55
	2.86	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.23)	3 ↓ (3.08)	2.47 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
32.6%

Draw
30.4%

Navalcarnero
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

20.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceares's form might have worsened.

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceares - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out)).

Ceares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.10.21	Unión Adarve - Ceares	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Ceares - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ceares	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Ceares - Llanera	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Marino de Luanco - Ceares	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.10.21	Navalcarnero - Langreo	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Arosa - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Guijuelo - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.10.21	Navalcarnero - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW

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