Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 22

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Real Bamako		Derby Académie

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.45
	1.96	3.24	3.27
	2.02	3.27	3.49	Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2	3.22	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.96)	3.15 ↓ (3.62)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
44.8%

Draw
28.6%

Derby Académie
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Derby Académie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Real Bamako - Derby Académie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Real Bamako has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Derby Académie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Derby Académie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Bamako has had a series of home games.

Real Bamako will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
22.05.26	Real Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
Coupe du Mali
17.05.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 penalties ✺
Malian Première Division
09.05.26	Binga - Real Bamako	1:0 ✺
Coupe du Mali
06.05.26	Real Bamako - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
24.04.26	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWT
- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
19.05.26	Derby Académie - Onze Créateurs	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Diarra - Derby Académie	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	Derby Académie - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Binga - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Derby Académie - Bougouba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1

Real Bamako - Derby Académie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide