The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesham United 45.7%
Draw 21.8%
Real Bedford 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.3%
24.8%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
25.1%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesham United's form might have worsened.
Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Bedford's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Bedford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Chesham United - Real Bedford Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Real Bedford will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Eze D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Cartwright S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Kasimu H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 3 - 1, Bennetts J. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Stevens B. ⚽,
90', 4 - 2, Babos A. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 3, Jones A. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.
Chesham is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real Bedford is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Real Bedford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.