Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Real Calepina		Sona

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2	2.95	3.7
	2.13	2.79	3.53
	2.05	3.1	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	3.55 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
44.2%

Draw
30.4%

Sona
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

28.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Calepina's form might have worsened.

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Calepina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sona than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Real Calepina - Sona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Real Calepina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Calepina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Calepina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.12.22	Seregno - Real Calepina	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Real Calepina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Casatese - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Calepina - Franciacorta	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTL
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Varesina - Sona	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Sona - Casatese	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Varese - Sona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
30.03.22	Sona - Real Calepina	0:0
14.11.21	Real Calepina - Sona	3:3
07.03.21	Real Calepina - Sona	0:1

Real Calepina - Sona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide