Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Alcione

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.8
	3.88	3.07	1.76
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.04	3.2	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.04)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
22.3%

Draw
28.5%

Alcione
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

28%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Calepina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Real Calepina is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcione is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.11.22	Casatese - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Calepina - Franciacorta	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Real Calepina - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.11.22	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4 ✺
13.11.22	Alcione - Varesina	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Sona - Alcione	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Giana Erminio - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Lecco - Alcione	✺

Real Calepina - Alcione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide