Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Sondrio

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.15	3.3
	2.02	3.11	3.31
	2.03	3.3	3.36	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.04	3.18	3.37
	2.05	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	3.13 ↓ (3.31)	3.34 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
44.3%

Draw
28.8%

Sondrio
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sondrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Real Calepina - Sondrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Longo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Real Calepina is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sondrio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Calepina could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Breno - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Milan Futuro - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Calepina - Oltrepo	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Sondrio - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Sondrio - Breno	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Sondrio	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sondrio - Chievo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTLL

Real Calepina - Sondrio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide