Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)


	Real Cartagena		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.25	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.34	3.15	3.17
	2.31	3.13	3.2	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.27	3.13	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.64)	3.13 ↓ (4)	3.26 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
42%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Huila
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.2%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Atlético Huila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Huila's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Huila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Real Cartagena - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético Huila will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlético Huila (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mosquera C. (G) 16. Artola I. 31. Barrios J. 7. De La Rosa W. 25. Fields L. 17. Marrugo C. 10. Montero F. 28. Paternina C. 13. Ramirez J. 93. Rodriguez A. 5. Solarte Espana J. A.	22. Mendez J. (G) 23. Arbelaez F. 29. Ayala S. 3. Ferrer D. 7. Hernandez S. 10. Mendez J. 16. Montes J. 4. Rodriguez J. 18. Salguero Zapata C. S. 6. Sanchez C. 19. Sequeda Arroyo M.
Substitutes
18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 8. Espinosa J. 22. Fontalvo R. (G) 14. Martinez E. 4. Montanez A. 27. Salcedo J. 19. Valencia J.	9. Duarte O. 30. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 1. Mena L. (G) 20. Moya B. 14. Ordonez J. 28. Rodriguez F. 13. Rojas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Arbelaez F. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Sequeda Arroyo M. ⚽,
36', Marrugo C. 🟨,
45+1', Sanchez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arbelaez F. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
46', Salguero Zapata C. S. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
62', Fields L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Montanez A. ↑,
62', Paternina C. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
65', Hernandez S. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
65', Sequeda Arroyo M. ↓, Duarte O. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
73', Montes J. 🟨,
73', Moya B. 🟨,
74', Sanchez C. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
89', Ramirez J. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
89', Barrios J. ↓, Espinosa J. ↑,
90+4', Mendez J. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 3.

Real Cartagena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atlético Huila is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Real Cartagena is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Cartagena to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
25.04.25	Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Real Cartagena - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:3 ✺
16.04.25	Real Cartagena - Patriotas	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera B
27.04.25	Barranquilla - Atlético Huila	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Atlético Huila - Leones	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Huila - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Atlético Huila - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.07.24	Real Cartagena - Atlético Huila	1:0
01.06.24	Atlético Huila - Real Cartagena	2:0
28.05.24	Real Cartagena - Atlético Huila	2:0
Colombian Copa
24.04.24	Real Cartagena - Atlético Huila	4:1 penalties
10.04.24	Atlético Huila - Real Cartagena	2:0
Colombian Primera B
12.02.24	Atlético Huila - Real Cartagena	2:0
22.07.22	Atlético Huila - Real Cartagena	2:3

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