Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Location: Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports Online


	Real Cundinamarca		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	2.8	3	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3	2.63
	2.84	2.99	2.64	Watch
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.81	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.16)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
33.2%

Draw
30.9%

Llaneros SA
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cundinamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llaneros SA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Cundinamarca - Llaneros SA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Catano K. (G) 8. Angulo J. 17. Banquez A. 29. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 16. Cajares J. 4. Guerrero J. 7. Orozco D. 27. Parra M. 30. Payares L. (C) 9. Riascos D. 14. Rocha A.	1. Armesto K. (G) 20. Angulo J. 32. Arbelaez F. 9. Caicedo J. F. 4. Mojica A. 31. Montes G. 27. Mosquera D. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C) 15. Valencia C.
Substitutes
26. Abonia Y. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 5. Camacho I. 22. Cuero B. 25. Martinez J. 28. Rios C. 32. Viveros J.	12. Cadavid A. (G) 19. Churi B. 33. Lasso J. 99. Restrepo E. 26. Verdugo A. 29. Villamayor J. 28. Zagert E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Rocha A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Riascos D. ⚽,
40', Sierra M. 🟨,
41', Cajares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mojica A. ↓, Villamayor J. ↑,
46', Angulo J. ↓, Camacho I. ↑,
65', Arbelaez F. 🟨,
69', Riascos D. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
69', Caicedo J. F. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
69', Sierra M. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
79', Rocha A. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
81', Ospina N. ↓, Verdugo A. ↑,
85', Orozco D. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
85', Parra M. ↓, Rios C. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Montes G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
31.08.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
22.08.24	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWTW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
31.08.24	Llaneros SA - Tigres	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	3:2 ✺
22.08.24	Llaneros SA - Leones	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Real Cartagena - Llaneros SA	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
01.05.24	Real Cundinamarca - Llaneros SA	3:4
24.03.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cundinamarca	3:3
20.08.23	Llaneros SA - Real Cundinamarca	3:0

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