Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Real España		Diriangén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.2
				Watch
	2.27	3.25	3.05
	2.08	3.25	3.47	Watch
	2.19	3.2	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.28 (3.28)	3.19 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
43.2%

Draw
28%

Diriangén
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Diriangén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Real España - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Moya B. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Diriangén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real España is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real España won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Real España won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.25	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.25	Municipal - Real España	2:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
09.08.25	Choloma - Real España	0:3 ✺
03.08.25	Real España - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.25	Herediano - Real España	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL
- Diriangén FC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Diriangén	2:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.08.25	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Diriangén - Herediano	4:2 ✺
31.07.25	Diriangén - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
24.08.23	Real España - Diriangén	0:0

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