The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal 42.7%
Draw 27.9%
Real España 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
18.7%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
18.2%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal's form might have worsened.
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+18%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Municipal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
66.7%
22.2%
Municipal - Real España Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Real España will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real España (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Real España (2.24) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
AH 0 - Real España (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Real España (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Aparicio D. ⚽, Benavidez J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Morales J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Altan P. (A),
90+6', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,
Preview
Municipal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real España's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Municipal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Municipal is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Municipal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
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