Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 3

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Universitario F.C. (Penonomé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting San Miguelito		Diriangén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.25	Watch
				Watch
	2.81	3.2	2.52
	1.87	3.93	3.49	Watch
	2.84	3.1	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	2.66 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
36.7%

Draw
27.9%

Diriangén
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San Miguelito's performance.

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting San Miguelito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting San Miguelito - Diriangén Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diriangén (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - San Miguelito (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguelito (votes: 1 - 50%). Diriangén (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Valencia A. (Pen),
22', 2 - 0, de Leon R. ⚽, Galvan K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Arteaga J. ⚽, Galvaliz M. (A),
70', Schonfeld A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, San Miguelito has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Diriangén is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diriangén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
10.08.25	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
07.08.25	Municipal - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.08.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWLL
- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
09.08.25	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Diriangén - Herediano	4:2 ✺
31.07.25	Diriangén - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:4 ✺
18.07.25	Diriangén - Rancho Santana	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWW

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