Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	UNAN Managua		Diriangén

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.75	1.57
	4.20	3.45	1.65	Watch
	4.70	3.84	1.61
	4.78	3.99	1.64	Watch
	4.65	3.80	1.60
	4.93	3.94	1.63
	4.55	3.80	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.2)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAN Managua
19.6%

Draw
23.9%

Diriangén
56.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAN Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Diriangén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

UNAN Managua - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+6', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 0.

In recent outings, UNAN Managua has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Diriangén shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Diriangén could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Diriangén has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Diriangén is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UNAN Managua has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:50 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for UNAN Managua against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 7:23 goals (averaging 0.7:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	14	11	2	1	31:13	18	35
4	UNAN-Managua	14	7	3	4	17:15	2	24

Last Results with these Odds

Diriangén - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 53.29%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.10.26	Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	UNAN Managua - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	Matagalpa - UNAN Managua	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWLL
- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.10.26	Diriangén - Walter Ferretti	2:4 ✺
06.10.26	San Marcos - Diriangén	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Sport Sébaco - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Matagalpa - Diriangén	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Managua - Diriangén	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.07.26	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	1:1
04.03.26	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:2
31.01.26	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:1
19.10.25	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	2:1
26.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:4
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
12.07.25	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:0
09.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:0

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