Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	UNAN Managua		Diriangén

	1	X	2
	10	4.33	1.25
	9.8	4.55	1.26	Watch
	9.35	5.38	1.27
	9.69	5.16	1.29	Watch
	10	4.8	1.25
	11.6	5.78	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.07 ↑ (6.71)	5 ↑ (4.55)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAN Managua
9.1%

Draw
18.3%

Diriangén
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.2%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.6%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAN Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Diriangén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diriangén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

UNAN Managua - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Diriangén is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAN Managua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:54. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAN Managua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 0.6:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26
3	UNAN-Managua	10	6	2	2	12:7	5	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAN Managua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.03.26	UNAN Managua - Real Estelí	0:3 ✺
26.02.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rancho Santana - UNAN Managua	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWW
- Diriangén FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
01.03.26	Municipal Jalapa - Diriangén	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Diriangén - Rancho Santana	5:1 ✺
22.02.26	Diriangén - Managua	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Real Madriz - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.01.26	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:1
19.10.25	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	2:1
26.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:4
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
12.07.25	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	3:0
09.07.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	1:0
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.01.25	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	0:2
19.10.24	UNAN Managua - Diriangén	0:4

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