Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 3

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday


	Real Fronteras		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.57	3.43	1.68
	4.57	3.43	1.64
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	4.81	3.62	1.64
	3.7	3.25	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.78)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	1.7 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Fronteras
20.5%

Draw
26.3%

Deportivo Táchira
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

28%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.2%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Fronteras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Táchira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Fronteras than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Real Fronteras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Fronteras have a series of guest games.

Deportivo Táchira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Fronteras won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Fronteras won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Fronteras
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Ureña - Real Fronteras	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.24	Yaracuyanos - Real Fronteras	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Real Fronteras - Aragua	1:3 ✺
19.05.24	Trujillanos - Real Fronteras	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Atlético El Vigía - Real Fronteras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLTT
- Deportivo Táchira
Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
18.09.19	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	1:1
04.09.19	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	1:5
Club Friendly
12.01.19	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	2:3
Copa Venezuela
15.08.18	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	1:0
08.08.18	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1

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