Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 2

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)


	Deportivo Táchira		Ureña

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.8	4.51
	1.55	3.74	4.52
	1.6	3.75	4.6
	1.58	3.92	4.8
	1.58	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)	3.81 ↑ (3.56)	4.59 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
56.9%

Draw
23.5%

Ureña
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ureña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Deportivo Táchira - Ureña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Uribe A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Gutierez J. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Castillo J. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Diaz K. R. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 1, Chacon Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 5 - 1, Uribe A. ⚽,

Preview

Deportivo Táchira has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ureña is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Táchira is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Táchira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
07.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Ureña SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
09.06.24	Héroes de Falcón - Ureña	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Ureña - Real Fronteras	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.24	Barquisimeto - Ureña	1:4 ✺
19.05.24	Atlético El Vigía - Ureña	3:3 ✺
12.05.24	Ureña - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
24.08.17	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	2:1
09.08.17	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.07.16	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	2:1
21.02.16	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	0:2
08.11.15	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	1:3

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