Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gran Parque Central (Montevideo)

Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Nacional Montevideo		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	5	8.75
	1.32	4.95	9.4	Watch
	1.32	5.33	10.54
	1.31	5.33	10.54
	1.25	5	10	Watch
	1.33	5.15	9.4	Watch
	1.27	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.28)	5.14 ↓ (5.33)	9.8 ↓ (10.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Montevideo
72.1%

Draw
18.3%

Deportivo Táchira
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

17.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional Montevideo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mejia L. (G) 14. Lozano L. 5. Romero F. 23. Polenta D. (C) 11. Baez Corradi G. 16. Castro A. 31. Helguera T. 7. Galeano A. 10. Pereyra M. 18. Recoba J. 20. Carneiro G.	50. Camargo J. (G) 2. Vivas C. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 27. Murillo A. 29. Vargas J. 15. Cova M. (C) 24. Robles C. 23. Hernandez Y. 44. Tamiche E. 18. Chacon Y. 16. Hernandez J.
Substitutes
13. Antoni M. 9. Bentancourt R. 6. Cairus F. 30. Ebere C. 19. Gonzalez G. 4. Haller R. 32. Martinez F. 8. Oliva C. 29. Santander F. 25. Suarez I. (G) 2. Velazquez E. 22. Zabala D.	1. Araque A. (G) 20. Calzadilla C. 13. Camacho P. 7. Castillo B. 19. Castillo J. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 3. Gutierez J. 33. Hernandez N. 28. Mendoza G. 6. Paz Benitez O. 25. Rios A. 10. Sosa C.
Coaches
Recoba A.	Sarago E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Castro A. ⚽, Galeano A. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Recoba J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Ruiz Diaz H. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
33', Vivas C. 🟨,
45', Castro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Robles C. 🟨,
68', Chacon Y. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
69', Robles C. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
71', Recoba J. 🟨,
72', Pereyra M. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
72', Helguera T. ↓, Cairus F. ↑,
76', Recoba J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
77', Carneiro G. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
77', Tamiche E. ↓, Sosa C. ↑,
77', Vargas J. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
83', Hernandez J. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
90+2', Galeano A. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
90+3', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,

Preview

Nacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Táchira is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	6:2 ✺
16.04.24	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Táchira	3:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.04.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.24	Deportivo Táchira - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

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