Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.82	2.28
	3.31	2.77	2.49
	3.32	2.64	2.46
	3.22	2.69	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.64)	2.73 ↓ (2.87)	2.41 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
28.3%

Draw
33.6%

Águilas
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

33.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Jaén's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Real Jaén - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Martos M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Caballero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jaén won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Águilas - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Real Jaén - Minera	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Jaén - Estepona	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Almeria B - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.02.26	Águilas - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Águilas - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	La Unión - Águilas	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Águilas - Minera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	Águilas - Real Jaén	1:1

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