Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Real Jaén		Malaga B

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.09	2.8
	2.38	3.06	2.84
	2.36	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.43)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
38.5%

Draw
29.4%

Malaga B
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Malaga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Real Jaén - Malaga B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Arriaza P. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Ortega A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 0.

Jaén is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Malaga B is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Malaga B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
04.05.25	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Real Jaén - Málaga Juniors	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Jaén - El Palo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWTW
- Malaga B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
04.05.25	Malaga B - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Malaga B	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Martos - Malaga B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Malaga B - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Málaga Juniors - Malaga B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.01.25	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:0
09.03.24	Malaga B - Real Jaén	1:0
29.10.23	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:2
07.05.23	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:2
30.04.23	Malaga B - Real Jaén	1:1
12.03.23	Malaga B - Real Jaén	0:0
20.11.22	Real Jaén - Malaga B	2:0

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