Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Huétor Tájar

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.9	2.7	4.9
	1.9	2.63	5.14
	1.93	2.71	5	Watch
	1.88	2.84	5.04
	1.9	2.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.6)	2.88 ↓ (3.8)	5.08 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
50%

Draw
31.9%

Huétor Tájar
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.1%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Jaén's form might have worsened.

Huétor Tájar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Tájar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Carrillo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jaén may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaén is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Real Jaén - Málaga Juniors	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Jaén - El Palo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWW
- CD Huétor Tájar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Huétor Tájar - El Ejido	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Huétor Vega - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0
06.04.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0
24.11.24	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	3:2
11.02.24	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	2:3
01.10.23	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	2:1
01.04.23	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	2:1
07.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0

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