Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Real Madrid Castilla		DUX Internacional de Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.77	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.5	4.64
	1.78	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.4 (3.4)	4.29 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
51.6%

Draw
27%

DUX Internacional de Madrid
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

18%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

DUX Internacional de Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DUX Internacional de Madrid than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DUX Internacional de Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Poblense - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
25.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTWLL
- DUX Internacional de Madrid
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	San Sebastian Reyes - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Baleares - DUX Internacional de Madrid	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.19	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:2
03.03.19	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
13.10.18	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:1

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