Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6.5
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.85	6.2
	1.54	3.96	6.23
	1.55	3.3	5
	1.51	3.92	6.18
	1.53	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	3.68 ↑ (3.3)	5.99 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
59.9%

Draw
24.8%

Linares Deportivo
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

25.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Luis M. (G) 2. Tobias V. 16. Asencio R. 33. Ribes E. 3. Obrador R. 23. Munoz V. 8. Zidane T. 6. Martin M. 22. Palacios C. 10. Paz N. 29. Aparicio E.	13. Casado S. (G) 18. Perejon D. 12. Marin A. 5. Rentero J. 17. Martinez A. 11. Berlanga M. 15. Duarte J. 8. Rodri 21. Llorente R. 9. Vazquez A. 14. Corral S.
Substitutes
1. Canizares L. (G) 39. Cuenca D. 21. De Leon J. 17. Garcia G. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 15. Pujol E. 9. Rodriguez A.	10. Carnicer F. 7. Diaz H. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 4. Molina M. 6. Moreno A. 28. Suarez L. 20. Sutherland T. 3. Varela F. 29. Zaki

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
04.01.24	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	3:3 ✺
09.12.23	Granada B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWTT
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.01.24	Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Madrid B - Linares Deportivo	5:0 ✺
03.01.24	Linares Deportivo - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Linares Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	2:0
27.11.22	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.02.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	4:1
28.11.21	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0

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